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Red116
64920.2
107255.2
666533.4
Blue111
510444.1
740115.2
766731.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1308950100150200116111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+3Teleop
+1Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points13
16Total auto13
Teleoperatedlevel
11Coral scored#16
38Coral points56
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
24Processor points6
16Net points16
40Algae points22
78Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#7
4L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
8Foul points4
116Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.20.2
55.255.0
Auto14.3
Teleop34.3
End6.5
red by 11.1
5104
#12
44.11.6
41.443.1
Auto7.7
Teleop28.4
End8.0
Second
6665
#11
33.40.2
33.533.3
Auto5.6
Teleop20.5
End7.3
red by 1.6
7667
#39
31.81.6
29.230.8
Auto5.2
Teleop25.9
End0.8
Third
649
#38DQ
20.20.2
21.621.5
Auto6.2
Teleop11.9
End2.0
red by 4.9
7401
#33
15.22.2
11.814.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned