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Red206
661934.3
977725.7
60487.7
Blue95
1033918.9
196745.1
247336.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165995015020025020695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+47Teleop
+57Endgame
+111Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave0
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points9
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +19
16Coral scored#15
59Coral points54
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#5
12Processor points6
28Net points20
40Algae points26
99Total teleop80
Reef
9L4#7
7L3#4
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +111
54Foul points0
206Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#3
87.70.0
84.484.4
Auto22.3
Teleop59.5
End5.9
red by 42.5
45.10.8
41.540.7
Auto9.3
Teleop34.2
End1.6
Second
6619
#13
34.30.0
33.933.9
Auto3.5
Teleop27.9
End3.0
blue by 2.0
2473
#15
36.30.8
34.333.5
Auto5.9
Teleop23.7
End6.7
Third
9777
#18
25.70.0
22.822.8
Auto4.3
Teleop18.7
End2.7
red by 6.8
10339
#40DQ
18.90.8
19.819.0
Auto3.8
Teleop12.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
58%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsMissed