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Red43
543016.3
800616.1
85233.0
Blue92
740115.2
527436.0
666533.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79960501502004392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+25
Endgame+25
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +19
6Coral scored#10
20Coral points35
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
0Processor points0
8Net points12
8Algae points12
28Total teleop47
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points24
43Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
852
#16
33.01.8
33.631.8
Auto5.9
Teleop25.5
End1.6
blue by 3.0
5274
#14
36.01.1
34.433.3
Auto6.9
Teleop28.1
End0.9
Second
5430
#37
16.31.8
15.013.2
Auto4.6
Teleop9.1
End2.7
blue by 17.1
6665
#11
33.41.1
33.332.3
Auto5.6
Teleop20.5
End7.3
Third
8006
#35
16.11.8
18.316.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.1
End2.5
red by 0.9
7401
#33
15.21.3
14.012.7
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsMissed