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Red214
167898.2
64920.2
1323116.9
Blue126
666533.4
265936.8
696238.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27094050150200250300350214126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+39Auto
+94Teleop
+86Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousRed +39
0Leave6
13Coral scored#4
65Coral points20
65Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +55
26Coral scored#17
95Coral points60
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#2
18Processor points18
28Net points8
46Algae points26
141Total teleop86
Reef
11L4#7
11L3#5
13L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
49Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +88
2Foul points0
214Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.90.5
116.3115.8
Auto28.4
Teleop77.7
End10.8
red by 78.7
6962
#21
38.20.5
36.637.1
Auto9.9
Teleop27.3
End1.0
Second
98.20.5
97.697.1
Auto24.4
Teleop61.6
End12.2
red by 61.4
2659
#25
36.80.5
35.235.7
Auto7.3
Teleop28.5
End1.0
Third
649
#38
20.20.5
19.819.4
Auto6.2
Teleop11.9
End2.0
blue by 13.2
6665
#11
33.40.5
31.832.3
Auto5.6
Teleop20.5
End7.3