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Red233
60487.7
914338.9
347877.0
Blue159
84046.3
183641.6
469840.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234133100150200250300233159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+74Teleop
+74Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave6
12Coral scored#5
61Coral points27
61Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +46
24Coral scored#23
86Coral points82
5Processor algae#2
10Net algae#4
30Processor points12
40Net points16
70Algae points28
156Total teleop110
Reef
15L4#8
13L3#9
4L2#8
4L1 · trough#3
51Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +74
0Foul points0
233Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#3
87.70.7
86.787.3
Auto22.3
Teleop59.5
End5.9
red by 41.4
840
#10
46.30.7
45.145.8
Auto7.2
Teleop31.6
End7.5
Second
77.00.7
76.076.7
Auto17.8
Teleop48.4
End10.8
red by 35.4
1836
#17
41.60.7
40.341.1
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End4.8
Third
9143
#28
38.90.7
38.038.6
Auto8.3
Teleop29.2
End1.4
blue by 1.9
4698
#22
40.90.7
40.541.3
Auto15.3
Teleop22.0
End3.6