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Red268
167898.2
661934.3
1323116.9
Blue176
247336.3
67054.3
196745.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278135100150200250300350268176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+64Teleop
+86Endgame
+92Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
9Leave9
12Coral scored#4
59Coral points21
68Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +26
35Coral scored#25
126Coral points90
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
12Processor points18
20Net points24
32Algae points42
158Total teleop132
Reef
15L4#12
17L3#10
6L2#3
9L1 · trough#4
54Game pieces#38
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +92
6Foul points0
268Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.90.3
115.8116.0
Auto28.4
Teleop77.7
End10.8
red by 62.6
670
#8
54.30.9
53.954.7
Auto10.5
Teleop37.5
End6.3
Second
98.20.3
97.197.4
Auto24.4
Teleop61.6
End12.2
red by 53.1
45.10.9
44.745.5
Auto9.3
Teleop34.2
End1.6
Third
6619
#13
34.30.3
34.134.3
Auto3.5
Teleop27.9
End3.0
blue by 2.0
2473
#15
36.30.9
35.936.8
Auto5.9
Teleop23.7
End6.7