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Red124
247336.3
67054.3
196745.1
Blue159
84046.3
85233.0
183641.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15813080100120140180200220124159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+27
Endgame+29
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +24
18Coral scored#17
66Coral points62
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#8
12Processor points24
16Net points32
28Algae points56
94Total teleop118
Reef
9L4#8
6L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points6
124Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#8
54.30.4
54.754.3
Auto10.5
Teleop37.5
End6.3
red by 8.0
840
#10
46.30.7
45.446.1
Auto7.2
Teleop31.6
End7.5
Second
45.10.4
45.545.1
Auto9.3
Teleop34.2
End1.6
red by 3.6
1836
#17
41.60.7
40.641.4
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End4.8
Third
2473
#15
36.30.4
36.836.3
Auto5.9
Teleop23.7
End6.7
red by 3.4
852
#16
33.00.7
32.132.8
Auto5.9
Teleop25.5
End1.6