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Red118
153862.7
1058620.0
811933.9
Blue94
416024.7
498417.4
513736.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123665010015020011894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+20Teleop
+18Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave6
5Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +4
11Coral scored#12
40Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
68Total teleop72
Reef
4L4#6
6L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
6Foul points0
118Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.70.5
55.155.7
Auto14.3
Teleop43.5
End4.9
red by 26.6
5137
#11
36.11.9
29.631.6
Auto7.4
Teleop24.1
End4.6
Second
8119
#18
33.90.5
31.131.6
Auto3.9
Teleop27.9
End2.1
red by 9.3
24.71.9
20.022.0
Auto3.8
Teleop16.7
End4.2
Third
20.00.9
18.018.9
Auto4.0
Teleop14.2
End1.9
red by 2.6
4984
#39
17.41.9
15.217.1
Auto1.9
Teleop14.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
40%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned