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Red141
254342.4
547426.2
427639.2
Blue44
66959.9
887019.6
957313.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1113905010015020014144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+77Teleop
+97Endgame
+97Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +73
14Coral scored#5
49Coral points18
4Processor algae#1
7Net algae#1
24Processor points6
28Net points4
52Algae points10
101Total teleop28
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#9
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +97
0Foul points0
141Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2543
#25
42.43.0
34.037.1
Auto5.8
Teleop27.9
End8.7
red by 22.8
8870
#31
19.60.1
15.715.9
Auto6.9
Teleop9.0
End3.6
Second
4276
#14
39.23.0
32.535.6
Auto7.9
Teleop25.4
End5.8
red by 25.9
9573
#44
13.30.1
10.410.5
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End0.4
Third
5474
#37
26.25.0
20.225.2
Auto4.6
Teleop18.9
End2.7
red by 16.4
6695
#51
9.90.1
8.98.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed