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Red117
312867.7
162215.6
364718.8
Blue83
210246.3
888814.0
887019.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1038505015011783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+28Teleop
+30Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points17
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +25
14Coral scored#8
50Coral points29
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
74Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#4
6L3#4
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
4Foul points0
117Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.71.3
55.156.4
Auto14.4
Teleop42.9
End10.4
red by 21.4
2102
#24
46.30.1
38.638.5
Auto10.7
Teleop29.1
End6.5
Second
3647
#23
18.81.3
23.424.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End4.1
blue by 0.8
8870
#31
19.60.2
16.216.0
Auto6.9
Teleop9.0
End3.6
Third
1622
#20
15.61.1
10.011.1
Auto4.4
Teleop9.1
End2.0
red by 1.6
8888
#27
14.00.2
21.521.3
Auto2.3
Teleop8.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned