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Red37
370416.4
688515.6
364718.8
Blue178
153862.7
283922.6
473863.6
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44151010020037178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+119
Endgame+139
Fouls+141
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave3
1Coral scored#8
7Coral points38
13Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +91
4Coral scored#23
16Coral points81
0Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
0Processor points18
4Net points12
4Algae points30
20Total teleop111
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#11
1L2#9
1L1 · trough#4
6Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +141
0Foul points2
37Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#23
18.81.1
19.718.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End4.1
blue by 44.8
63.63.2
53.756.9
Auto19.6
Teleop40.5
End3.6
Second
3704
#38
16.41.8
18.716.9
Auto4.2
Teleop10.1
End2.1
blue by 46.3
62.73.2
57.160.3
Auto14.3
Teleop43.5
End4.9
Third
6885
#36
15.61.1
15.214.0
Auto5.5
Teleop8.6
End1.5
blue by 7.1
2839
#48
22.63.2
16.820.0
Auto3.3
Teleop19.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed54%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsEarned