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Red95
551428.2
651517.2
908453.6
Blue69
889135.1
427639.2
498417.4
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80720501001502009569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+24Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave6
5Coral scored#0
26Coral points0
26Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +4
11Coral scored#13
39Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
61Total teleop57
Reef
8L4#6
3L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
8Cage & park6
8Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
95Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.62.1
34.336.5
Auto17.6
Teleop33.9
End2.1
red by 14.4
4276
#14
39.20.3
27.427.7
Auto7.9
Teleop25.4
End5.8
Second
5514
#17
28.22.1
17.920.0
Auto8.5
Teleop16.8
End2.9
blue by 6.9
8891
#22
35.10.3
21.621.9
Auto5.0
Teleop26.1
End4.0
Third
6515
#41
17.22.7
18.721.4
Auto3.1
Teleop9.7
End4.4
blue by 0.2
4984
#39
17.40.3
16.616.9
Auto1.9
Teleop14.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed