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Red77
271040.3
957313.3
651517.2
Blue75
908453.6
282715.8
811933.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66123501001502007775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+8
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +8
10Coral scored#9
37Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
47Total teleop55
Reef
7L4#5
2L3#2
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
77Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2710
#13
40.30.9
36.937.8
Auto8.5
Teleop25.5
End6.3
blue by 13.3
53.62.0
53.451.3
Auto17.6
Teleop33.9
End2.1
Second
6515
#41
17.21.2
15.216.4
Auto3.1
Teleop9.7
End4.4
blue by 16.7
8119
#18
33.92.0
33.131.1
Auto3.9
Teleop27.9
End2.1
Third
9573
#44
13.31.2
12.013.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End0.4
blue by 2.6
2827
#29
15.82.9
18.815.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed