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Red84
945237.2
162215.6
298425.5
Blue199
699558.5
153862.7
312867.7
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7321205010015025030084199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+81
Endgame+103
Fouls+115
AutonomousBlue +31
3Leave9
3Coral scored#8
17Coral points42
20Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +50
11Coral scored#17
40Coral points62
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#6
12Processor points24
8Net points24
20Algae points48
60Total teleop110
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#7
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#6
18Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +115
0Foul points12
84Total score199

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9452
#19
37.20.5
36.036.5
Auto5.9
Teleop26.9
End4.4
blue by 30.5
67.70.4
65.866.2
Auto14.4
Teleop42.9
End10.4
Second
2984
#26
25.50.8
24.825.5
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End2.0
blue by 37.1
62.70.4
59.459.8
Auto14.3
Teleop43.5
End4.9
Third
1622
#20
15.60.5
15.115.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.1
End2.0
blue by 42.9
58.50.4
55.856.2
Auto17.0
Teleop33.1
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed80%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned