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Red180
5940100.5
425522.1
1052357.2
Blue143
418624.0
397057.8
803367.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions200160100150250180143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+37Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
7Coral scored#10
35Coral points48
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +44
26Coral scored#19
92Coral points68
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
18Processor points6
12Net points4
30Algae points10
122Total teleop78
Reef
15L4#7
9L3#10
5L2#8
4L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
180Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.50.0
100.5100.5
Auto24.9
Teleop65.7
End10.0
red by 33.0
67.60.2
67.767.6
Auto20.5
Teleop39.3
End7.8
Second
57.20.0
57.257.2
Auto11.1
Teleop40.6
End5.5
blue by 0.7
57.80.2
58.057.8
Auto13.7
Teleop37.7
End6.4
Third
4255
#35
22.10.0
22.122.1
Auto5.1
Teleop14.7
End2.4
blue by 1.8
4186
#29
24.00.2
24.124.0
Auto6.0
Teleop15.1
End2.9