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Red24
1028122.1
650614.8
255125.0
Blue58
510434.2
572814.6
766731.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67730501001502002458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+22
Fouls+34
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +13
3Coral scored#5
10Coral points19
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
10Total teleop23
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
6Foul points18
24Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2551
#31
25.05.1
27.422.3
Auto4.1
Teleop18.3
End2.6
blue by 9.3
5104
#12
34.21.8
26.925.1
Auto6.9
Teleop20.6
End6.7
Second
22.19.4
22.112.7
Auto5.2
Teleop14.3
End2.6
blue by 9.7
7667
#15
31.83.0
21.718.7
Auto5.7
Teleop24.4
End1.6
Third
6506
#41
14.83.1
15.712.6
Auto2.9
Teleop9.0
End3.0
red by 0.2
5728
#23
14.63.0
15.912.9
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned