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Red113
196734.5
76640.8
879327.2
Blue174
75118.4
1323108.2
285426.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72112050100150113174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+55
Endgame+61
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +16
0Leave3
4Coral scored#6
18Coral points31
18Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +39
18Coral scored#17
65Coral points62
2Processor algae#5
2Net algae#8
12Processor points30
8Net points32
20Algae points62
85Total teleop124
Reef
7L4#10
8L3#5
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +6
10Cage & park16
10Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points0
113Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
766
#25
40.83.9
23.227.1
Auto5.1
Teleop30.3
End5.4
blue by 67.4
108.27.6
49.957.5
Auto25.1
Teleop73.4
End9.7
Second
1967
#17
34.53.9
24.228.1
Auto8.1
Teleop24.8
End1.6
red by 7.8
2854
#12
26.77.6
25.733.3
Auto3.5
Teleop20.6
End2.6
Third
27.23.9
19.623.4
Auto6.7
Teleop16.7
End3.7
red by 8.7
751
#16
18.47.6
18.726.3
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned