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Red30
661931.9
914331.8
170011.7
Blue25
64917.8
66813.7
248912.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73642040801001203025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
4Coral scored#2
14Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
18Total teleop8
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
5Game pieces#3
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points2
30Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6619
#13
31.93.7
22.819.1
Auto3.5
Teleop27.7
End0.7
red by 14.0
649
#26
17.84.0
26.322.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.1
End3.6
Second
9143
#14
31.83.7
25.321.5
Auto4.4
Teleop23.5
End3.8
red by 18.1
668
#30
13.74.0
14.510.5
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End3.7
Third
1700
#19
11.73.7
15.511.8
Auto1.6
Teleop10.1
End0.0
blue by 0.6
2489
#33
12.34.0
17.813.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed