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Red63
1064415.1
499018.9
641835.8
Blue119
264320.0
76640.8
623839.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions769405015020063119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+44
Endgame+58
Fouls+56
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +51
8Coral scored#18
27Coral points66
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
37Total teleop88
Reef
3L4#8
4L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
8Foul points6
63Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6418
#11
35.81.2
29.027.8
Auto9.7
Teleop25.6
End0.5
blue by 5.0
766
#25
40.83.9
28.532.4
Auto5.1
Teleop30.3
End5.4
Second
4990
#21
18.91.2
20.018.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End2.4
blue by 20.4
39.43.9
28.332.2
Auto5.3
Teleop26.5
End7.6
Third
15.11.2
16.715.5
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End0.9
blue by 4.9
2643
#24
20.03.9
21.225.1
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned