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Red101
75118.4
1005910.7
58174.7
Blue34
170011.7
388020.7
900612.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12855010015020010134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+55Teleop
+67Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave0
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points12
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +37
11Coral scored#6
41Coral points20
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
12Processor points0
4Net points0
16Algae points0
57Total teleop20
Reef
8L4#3
2L3#3
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#8
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points0
101Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#3
74.70.4
67.667.2
Auto16.3
Teleop48.4
End10.0
red by 54.0
3880
#18
20.71.4
26.224.8
Auto5.7
Teleop13.4
End1.6
Second
751
#16
18.40.6
24.223.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End2.6
red by 6.5
9006
#20
12.02.3
16.714.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End0.6
Third
10.70.6
15.014.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.5
blue by 1.0
1700
#19
11.72.3
11.89.5
Auto1.6
Teleop10.1
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed