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Red63
900612.0
914331.8
196734.5
Blue31
66813.7
1037215.3
87519.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7662020401001201401606331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+34Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
8Coral scored#3
29Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
43Total teleop16
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
13Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
63Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1967
#17
34.50.4
23.823.4
Auto8.1
Teleop24.8
End1.6
red by 19.2
15.32.7
26.323.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Second
9143
#14
31.80.4
27.527.1
Auto4.4
Teleop23.5
End3.8
red by 18.1
668
#30
13.72.7
11.89.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End3.7
Third
9006
#20
12.00.4
12.912.5
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End0.6
red by 2.0
8751
#32
9.92.7
13.711.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed