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Red79
388020.7
135144.1
50277.7
Blue218
1323108.2
623839.4
66813.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7017705010015020025030079218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+73
Endgame+97
Fouls+139
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave3
5Coral scored#8
27Coral points40
30Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +60
7Coral scored#18
25Coral points63
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#7
12Processor points18
12Net points28
24Algae points46
49Total teleop109
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#5
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#7
17Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +24
0Cage & park24
0Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +139
0Foul points42
79Total score218

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.10.1
43.843.9
Auto15.6
Teleop25.8
End2.7
blue by 64.1
108.21.9
103.9105.8
Auto25.1
Teleop73.4
End9.7
Second
3880
#18
20.70.1
20.820.9
Auto5.7
Teleop13.4
End1.6
blue by 18.7
39.41.9
33.235.0
Auto5.3
Teleop26.5
End7.6
Third
5027
#31DQ
7.70.1
7.77.8
Auto0.9
Teleop7.3
End-0.5
blue by 6.0
668
#30
13.71.9
10.011.8
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed41%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned