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Red54
681429.6
724511.2
605914.8
Blue73
661931.9
75118.4
248912.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675802040801001201405473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+17
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +14
9Coral scored#10
31Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
41Total teleop55
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
54Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6814
#27
29.60.2
28.828.7
Auto5.6
Teleop22.5
End1.5
blue by 2.2
6619
#13
31.91.7
24.726.4
Auto3.5
Teleop27.7
End0.7
Second
6059
#35
14.80.2
14.714.5
Auto3.0
Teleop10.5
End1.3
blue by 3.7
751
#16
18.41.7
16.518.2
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End2.6
Third
7245
#36
11.20.2
12.612.5
Auto2.0
Teleop7.9
End1.3
blue by 1.1
2489
#33
12.31.6
10.812.3
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed