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Red103
170011.7
58174.7
490415.6
Blue54
879327.2
1064415.1
1037215.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1156005010015020010354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+45Teleop
+55Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
9Leave9
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +47
15Coral scored#6
55Coral points20
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
12Processor points0
4Net points4
16Algae points4
71Total teleop24
Reef
8L4#3
2L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points6
103Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#3
74.70.2
72.672.9
Auto16.3
Teleop48.4
End10.0
red by 47.5
27.21.0
28.827.8
Auto6.7
Teleop16.7
End3.7
Second
4904
#28
15.60.3
15.615.9
Auto4.0
Teleop10.2
End1.4
red by 0.3
15.31.0
16.315.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Third
1700
#19
11.70.3
11.111.4
Auto1.6
Teleop10.1
End0.0
blue by 3.3
15.11.0
16.015.1
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed