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Red66
490415.6
10030.9
285426.7
Blue90
135144.1
67038.0
1025210.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771060501506690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+14
Endgame+20
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
3Coral scored#6
14Coral points31
23Total auto37
Teleoperatedlevel
8Coral scored#5
27Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
37Total teleop37
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#4
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points4
66Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#10
30.90.2
31.130.9
Auto8.0
Teleop19.8
End3.2
blue by 13.2
44.10.1
43.943.8
Auto15.6
Teleop25.8
End2.7
Second
2854
#12
26.70.2
26.926.7
Auto3.5
Teleop20.6
End2.6
blue by 11.2
670
#5
38.00.1
37.837.6
Auto9.0
Teleop21.8
End7.2
Third
4904
#28
15.60.2
15.715.6
Auto4.0
Teleop10.2
End1.4
red by 4.8
10.70.1
10.910.7
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.0