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Red154
66813.7
304559.9
58174.7
Blue107
264320.0
661931.9
804844.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1679250150200250154107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+41Teleop
+53Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
6Leave9
8Coral scored#1
41Coral points7
47Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +10
19Coral scored#15
69Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
6Processor points6
16Net points20
22Algae points26
91Total teleop81
Reef
15L4#7
6L3#3
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points6
154Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#3
74.70.2
73.373.6
Auto16.3
Teleop48.4
End10.0
red by 30.0
44.70.3
42.342.5
Auto6.3
Teleop37.3
End1.1
Second
59.90.2
58.558.7
Auto17.2
Teleop38.2
End4.5
red by 28.0
6619
#13
31.90.3
29.529.7
Auto3.5
Teleop27.7
End0.7
Third
668
#30
13.70.2
12.312.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End3.7
blue by 6.3
2643
#24
20.00.3
17.617.9
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End1.8