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Red119
364728.6
997925.9
998229.2
Blue116
547433.7
153864.6
945239.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions421540100200250300119116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+11
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave0
2Coral scored#6
9Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +10
19Coral scored#12
68Coral points44
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
18Processor points12
8Net points28
26Algae points40
94Total teleop84
Reef
7L4#8
7L3#6
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#27
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
119Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9982
#29
29.24.9
14.419.3
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End8.5
blue by 35.4
64.62.5
60.558.0
Auto13.4
Teleop43.7
End7.4
Second
3647
#23
28.62.9
20.423.3
Auto3.6
Teleop23.4
End1.6
blue by 11.3
9452
#14
39.92.5
39.537.0
Auto6.7
Teleop31.6
End1.5
Third
9979
#20
25.94.9
11.516.4
Auto4.1
Teleop17.4
End4.5
blue by 7.8
5474
#21
33.72.5
29.727.2
Auto9.2
Teleop19.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned