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Red16
997813.6
16228.7
416015.4
Blue136
265813.2
945239.9
473864.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43128010015020025030016136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+30
Teleop+102
Endgame+114
Fouls+120
AutonomousBlue +30
3Leave3
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points30
3Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +72
1Coral scored#15
3Coral points55
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
0Processor points12
0Net points8
0Algae points20
3Total teleop75
Reef
1L4#6
0L3#8
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#4
1Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +120
6Foul points12
16Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4160
#36
15.42.3
21.919.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End3.2
blue by 49.4
4738
#10
64.81.4
51.552.9
Auto19.0
Teleop37.3
End8.5
Second
9978
#27
13.63.9
17.413.5
Auto2.7
Teleop9.9
End1.1
blue by 26.3
9452
#14
39.91.4
40.141.5
Auto6.7
Teleop31.6
End1.5
Third
1622
#28
8.72.3
5.93.5
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End0.1
blue by 4.6
2658
#31
13.21.4
10.812.2
Auto1.8
Teleop10.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
6%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed