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Red125
889133.5
519978.9
312850.4
Blue109
298416.6
997925.9
441948.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18677050100150250300350125109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+6Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
22Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +7
15Coral scored#13
53Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
77Total teleop70
Reef
5L4#6
7L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
125Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.91.8
71.770.0
Auto16.0
Teleop49.6
End13.3
red by 30.1
48.82.2
44.446.6
Auto10.7
Teleop30.7
End7.5
Second
50.41.8
49.347.5
Auto9.9
Teleop29.0
End11.4
red by 24.5
9979
#20
25.93.7
16.019.6
Auto4.1
Teleop17.4
End4.5
Third
8891
#11
33.51.8
30.328.5
Auto4.8
Teleop26.8
End1.9
red by 16.9
2984
#24
16.62.2
15.617.8
Auto4.2
Teleop11.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed