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Red47
473864.8
416015.4
551429.4
Blue98
699576.3
998313.3
997729.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117990501502002504798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+39
Endgame+45
Fouls+51
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points21
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +42
2Coral scored#10
8Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
8Total teleop50
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points6
47Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#10
64.83.4
52.949.6
Auto19.0
Teleop37.3
End8.5
blue by 11.5
76.30.7
64.064.7
Auto16.5
Teleop50.8
End9.0
Second
5514
#16
29.43.4
25.121.7
Auto6.5
Teleop17.3
End5.6
blue by 0.5
9977
#33
29.91.2
16.918.1
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.0
Third
4160
#36
15.43.4
19.616.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End3.2
red by 2.1
9983
#18
13.31.2
0.31.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed