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Red259
35996.6
59734.9
940883.7
Blue221
263761.4
580527.7
29476.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24016950100150200300350259221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+34Teleop
+44Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave9
10Coral scored#7
51Coral points35
57Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +21
36Coral scored#28
130Coral points101
5Processor algae#5
4Net algae#6
30Processor points30
16Net points24
46Algae points54
176Total teleop155
Reef
17L4#14
15L3#8
8L2#7
6L1 · trough#6
55Game pieces#46
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points6
259Total score221

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
96.60.5
96.596.9
Auto20.5
Teleop65.6
End10.6
red by 20.3
294
#5
76.30.6
75.576.0
Auto17.6
Teleop50.0
End8.8
Second
83.70.5
83.583.9
Auto16.1
Teleop56.9
End10.7
red by 22.2
61.40.6
60.661.1
Auto17.1
Teleop36.4
End8.0
Third
597
#24
34.90.5
34.735.2
Auto7.2
Teleop26.4
End1.3
red by 7.2
5805
#25
27.70.6
26.827.4
Auto5.5
Teleop18.8
End3.5