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Red154
940883.7
427627.9
447029.5
Blue101
607220.7
56694.5
580527.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17068050100150200250300154101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+55Teleop
+65Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
3Leave3
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
30Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +28
15Coral scored#9
54Coral points32
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
18Processor points12
20Net points20
38Algae points32
92Total teleop64
Reef
8L4#3
4L3#2
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
6Foul points18
154Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.70.7
71.871.1
Auto16.1
Teleop56.9
End10.7
red by 56.0
5805
#25
27.70.6
28.728.1
Auto5.5
Teleop18.8
End3.5
Second
4470
#16
29.50.8
27.827.0
Auto1.9
Teleop17.7
End9.9
red by 8.8
6072
#36
20.70.6
26.926.3
Auto2.6
Teleop15.7
End2.4
Third
4276
#37
27.90.7
39.238.5
Auto6.0
Teleop14.9
End7.0
red by 23.4
5669
#30
4.50.6
16.215.6
Auto1.4
Teleop1.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned