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Red115
59734.9
427627.9
119760.0
Blue74
116038.4
499926.6
114843.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155125010020030040050011574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+19Teleop
+33Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave0
4Coral scored#2
18Coral points9
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +1
9Coral scored#11
34Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
62Total teleop61
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#18
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
10Foul points2
115Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.01.8
68.566.7
Auto17.8
Teleop36.5
End5.7
red by 16.9
1148
#20
43.12.9
51.448.6
Auto7.6
Teleop29.5
End6.0
Second
597
#24
34.91.8
32.430.6
Auto7.2
Teleop26.4
End1.3
blue by 3.5
1160
#26
38.42.9
37.434.5
Auto9.4
Teleop27.0
End2.0
Third
4276
#37
27.91.8
31.229.4
Auto6.0
Teleop14.9
End7.0
red by 1.3
4999
#31
26.62.9
26.423.5
Auto4.1
Teleop16.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsMissed