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Red161
35996.6
325552.2
70234.4
Blue75
704241.3
113845.6
68728.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2211325010015020025030035016175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+74Teleop
+74Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave9
4Coral scored#0
22Coral points0
22Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +61
24Coral scored#9
87Coral points32
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
6Processor points12
20Net points8
26Algae points20
113Total teleop52
Reef
11L4#3
9L3#2
6L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +86
12Foul points0
161Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
96.63.3
84.881.6
Auto20.5
Teleop65.6
End10.6
red by 51.1
1138
#13
45.63.8
57.353.5
Auto7.6
Teleop28.5
End9.5
Second
3255
#14
52.23.3
67.864.5
Auto9.0
Teleop35.4
End7.8
red by 10.8
41.33.8
40.636.8
Auto5.4
Teleop30.3
End5.6
Third
702
#17
34.43.3
45.342.0
Auto8.1
Teleop25.1
End1.2
red by 5.9
687
#22
28.53.8
34.630.7
Auto5.3
Teleop17.8
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
69%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned