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Red193
499926.6
263761.4
441946.0
Blue251
940883.7
35996.6
68728.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109229050150200250300350193251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+92
Endgame+82
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +16
6Leave3
7Coral scored#11
34Coral points53
40Total auto56
TeleoperatedBlue +76
15Coral scored#33
55Coral points117
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#10
18Processor points12
20Net points40
38Algae points52
93Total teleop169
Reef
5L4#12
8L3#15
6L2#8
3L1 · trough#9
30Game pieces#56
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
24Foul points0
193Total score251

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.42.7
46.248.9
Auto17.1
Teleop36.4
End8.0
blue by 35.2
359
#1
96.62.8
92.795.5
Auto20.5
Teleop65.6
End10.6
Second
4419
#12
46.02.7
45.748.4
Auto7.6
Teleop30.5
End7.9
blue by 37.6
83.72.8
78.781.5
Auto16.1
Teleop56.9
End10.7
Third
4999
#31
26.62.7
21.524.2
Auto4.1
Teleop16.6
End5.9
blue by 1.9
687
#22
28.52.8
24.927.6
Auto5.3
Teleop17.8
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned82%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned