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Red126
800537.4
441946.5
39941.6
Blue88
1018318.7
97358.0
114832.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1301165010015012688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +19
13Coral scored#14
48Coral points49
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
82Total teleop63
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
2Foul points0
126Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4419
#13
46.50.4
41.341.7
Auto9.3
Teleop28.7
End8.5
blue by 11.5
973
#11
58.01.0
54.553.5
Auto12.3
Teleop36.8
End9.0
Second
399
#18
41.60.4
44.945.2
Auto9.1
Teleop28.2
End4.3
red by 9.3
1148
#25
32.31.0
29.728.7
Auto5.7
Teleop21.9
End4.7
Third
8005
#10
37.40.4
32.232.6
Auto9.9
Teleop22.0
End5.5
red by 18.8
18.71.0
18.817.8
Auto2.5
Teleop7.4
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
28%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsMissed