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Red51
386326.9
39941.6
822935.5
Blue60
145210.2
800537.4
351246.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129850501502002503003505160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+5Teleop
+3Endgame
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +11
8Coral scored#7
29Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
43Total teleop32
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points12
51Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#18
41.64.2
45.241.1
Auto9.1
Teleop28.2
End4.3
blue by 4.7
46.32.3
38.536.2
Auto7.7
Teleop29.9
End8.6
Second
8229
#19
35.54.2
36.832.6
Auto7.2
Teleop25.9
End2.4
blue by 2.0
8005
#10
37.42.3
32.630.2
Auto9.9
Teleop22.0
End5.5
Third
3863
#33
26.94.2
31.427.2
Auto3.8
Teleop19.4
End3.8
red by 16.7
1452
#29
10.22.3
11.99.6
Auto0.5
Teleop9.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed