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Red189
6560B18.1
35994.2
351246.3
Blue185
97358.0
715740.6
138872.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160175100150200250189185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+6
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points24
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +3
26Coral scored#28
93Coral points100
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#8
18Processor points6
24Net points32
42Algae points38
135Total teleop138
Reef
10L4#10
8L3#11
9L2#6
4L1 · trough#6
40Game pieces#42
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
189Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#4
94.22.7
90.393.0
Auto18.6
Teleop63.4
End12.3
red by 22.0
72.31.6
67.969.4
Auto15.3
Teleop50.3
End6.7
Second
46.32.7
41.444.1
Auto7.7
Teleop29.9
End8.6
blue by 11.7
973
#11
58.01.6
54.155.7
Auto12.3
Teleop36.8
End9.0
Third
18.13.7
16.219.9
Auto3.5
Teleop13.3
End1.4
blue by 22.4
7157
#17
40.61.6
39.541.1
Auto6.7
Teleop28.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
56%Coral oddsEarned36%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned