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Red123
800537.4
265939.6
364720.0
Blue113
375920.6
3512B25.3
908465.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85114050100150200250123113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+8Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +1
18Coral scored#18
64Coral points63
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#6
6Processor points6
24Net points24
30Algae points30
94Total teleop93
Reef
8L4#6
7L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
123Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2659
#16
39.62.6
34.937.5
Auto5.7
Teleop33.6
End0.3
blue by 26.0
65.70.6
62.262.8
Auto14.7
Teleop42.4
End8.6
Second
8005
#10
37.42.6
31.434.0
Auto9.9
Teleop22.0
End5.5
red by 12.1
25.30.8
20.120.9
Auto1.8
Teleop20.9
End2.6
Third
3647
#21
20.02.6
18.220.7
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End2.4
blue by 0.6
3759
#23
20.60.6
21.822.4
Auto2.4
Teleop16.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed