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Red176
800610.0
528536.4
1323112.5
Blue38
392510.5
39941.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19054010015025030017638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+134Teleop
+144Endgame
+138Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
9Leave9
8Coral scored#1
42Coral points4
51Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +96
25Coral scored#4
89Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
6Processor points0
16Net points0
22Algae points0
111Total teleop15
Reef
12L4#1
6L3#2
7L2#1
8L1 · trough#1
38Game pieces#5
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +138
0Foul points6
176Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.51.6
110.9112.5
Auto28.0
Teleop72.1
End12.4
red by 70.9
399
#18
41.62.3
43.441.1
Auto9.1
Teleop28.2
End4.3
Second
5285
#22
36.41.6
32.434.0
Auto12.3
Teleop20.0
End4.1
red by 25.9
3925
#32
10.52.3
13.210.9
Auto2.4
Teleop4.6
End3.6
Third
8006
#31
10.01.6
8.29.8
Auto1.3
Teleop6.9
End1.7
red by 0.9
9.13.1
9.86.8
Auto0.8
Teleop9.0
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
55%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed