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Red98
606012.0
80608.5
448178.5
Blue93
570017.6
388021.2
908434.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106810501509893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+17Teleop
+15Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points10
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
10Coral scored#9
36Coral points33
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
56Total teleop53
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#3
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
8Foul points18
98Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.50.3
68.768.5
Auto19.7
Teleop49.6
End9.2
red by 44.1
9084
#13
34.30.1
33.333.2
Auto12.2
Teleop19.9
End2.2
Second
6060
#40
12.00.4
14.213.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End1.9
blue by 9.3
3880
#28
21.20.1
22.122.0
Auto6.3
Teleop12.8
End2.2
Third
8060
#47DQ
8.50.4
11.010.5
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End1.8
blue by 9.0
5700
#29
17.60.1
20.320.2
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsMissed