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Red87
502646.1
742643.8
471111.4
Blue67
374913.7
412335.1
586911.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89710204060801001201401608767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+28Teleop
+28Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
11Coral scored#8
38Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
60Total teleop46
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#4
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points8
87Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.10.8
32.132.9
Auto14.0
Teleop26.7
End5.4
red by 11.0
4123
#21
35.10.7
25.124.4
Auto8.5
Teleop25.4
End1.2
Second
43.80.8
36.637.4
Auto8.3
Teleop30.0
End5.5
red by 30.2
3749
#35
13.70.7
21.821.1
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End3.1
Third
4711
#37
11.40.8
10.911.7
Auto3.3
Teleop5.7
End2.3
blue by 0.4
5869
#42
11.70.7
18.217.5
Auto1.5
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed