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Red62
388021.2
162211.5
39259.3
Blue83
65539.5
1014721.7
977212.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484201001502006283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+7
Endgame+9
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +4
5Coral scored#8
17Coral points29
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
12Processor points0
4Net points8
16Algae points8
33Total teleop37
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
16Foul points28
62Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3880
#28
21.21.0
15.915.0
Auto6.3
Teleop12.8
End2.2
blue by 0.4
21.70.3
23.423.6
Auto6.2
Teleop15.1
End0.4
Second
1622
#32
11.50.6
14.113.5
Auto2.2
Teleop6.9
End2.4
blue by 1.2
9772
#11
12.70.3
12.813.1
Auto3.9
Teleop7.1
End1.7
Third
3925
#51
9.31.0
9.68.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End1.8
blue by 0.2
6553
#46
9.50.4
2.02.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsEarned7%Barge oddsMissed