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Red150
97155.0
407936.7
58927.3
Blue126
502646.1
606012.0
386354.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111168090100120130140150160150126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points27
40Total auto30
Teleoperatedlevel
17Coral scored#16
60Coral points56
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
6Processor points18
16Net points8
22Algae points26
82Total teleop82
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#6
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +24
14Foul points0
150Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#9
55.00.8
51.151.9
Auto7.3
Teleop40.7
End7.0
red by 0.7
54.40.3
54.154.4
Auto8.6
Teleop36.8
End9.0
Second
4079
#22
36.70.6
33.734.3
Auto11.4
Teleop23.6
End1.7
blue by 9.4
46.10.4
45.646.1
Auto14.0
Teleop26.7
End5.4
Third
589
#26
27.30.8
23.424.2
Auto6.1
Teleop13.1
End8.1
red by 15.4
6060
#40
12.00.4
11.512.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End1.9