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Red230
715743.4
427079.4
291099.9
Blue200
473874.5
879342.7
84160.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24517250100150200300350400230200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+34Teleop
+24Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave0
10Coral scored#9
49Coral points47
49Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +32
24Coral scored#19
85Coral points69
4Processor algae#4
10Net algae#6
24Processor points24
40Net points24
64Algae points48
149Total teleop117
Reef
14L4#11
7L3#4
7L2#7
6L1 · trough#6
48Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
6Foul points0
230Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.90.5
99.799.2
Auto27.8
Teleop61.9
End10.2
red by 25.4
4738
#16
74.51.4
71.672.9
Auto19.9
Teleop44.3
End10.3
Second
4270
#24
79.40.5
79.478.9
Auto15.9
Teleop54.7
End8.8
red by 19.2
841
#13
60.11.4
58.159.5
Auto12.1
Teleop39.8
End8.2
Third
7157
#27
43.40.5
40.640.0
Auto8.5
Teleop29.6
End5.4
red by 0.8
8793
#28
42.71.4
39.440.8
Auto10.6
Teleop25.8
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
98%Coral oddsEarned37%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned