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Red201
908465.9
944269.5
945077.5
Blue270
366378.9
25493.8
594084.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223272150200250300350400201270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+40
Teleop+51
Endgame+71
Fouls+69
AutonomousBlue +40
9Leave0
3Coral scored#13
14Coral points63
23Total auto63
TeleoperatedBlue +11
31Coral scored#32
110Coral points115
5Processor algae#2
5Net algae#11
30Processor points12
20Net points44
50Algae points56
160Total teleop171
Reef
13L4#13
9L3#15
7L2#10
5L1 · trough#7
44Game pieces#58
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
2Foul points0
201Total score270

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.52.7
80.778.0
Auto17.6
Teleop48.4
End11.5
blue by 16.3
254
#1
93.80.6
93.092.5
Auto22.9
Teleop61.9
End9.0
Second
69.52.7
72.269.5
Auto9.4
Teleop60.0
End0.2
blue by 14.6
5940
#11
84.10.6
85.284.6
Auto23.3
Teleop52.1
End8.7
Third
9084
#18
65.92.7
68.665.9
Auto17.8
Teleop40.5
End7.5
blue by 13.1
78.90.6
79.278.6
Auto15.4
Teleop52.6
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
60%Coral oddsEarned100%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned