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Red126
603657.0
167153.0
97250.7
Blue236
167886.8
291099.9
449980.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16130750100200250350400126236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+40
Teleop+120
Endgame+110
Fouls+110
AutonomousBlue +40
9Leave0
4Coral scored#14
21Coral points70
30Total auto70
TeleoperatedBlue +80
16Coral scored#32
58Coral points114
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
0Processor points12
12Net points24
12Algae points36
70Total teleop150
Reef
8L4#15
7L3#15
3L2#11
2L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#54
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +110
0Foul points0
126Total score236

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6036
#34
57.02.7
59.556.8
Auto13.2
Teleop40.0
End3.8
blue by 42.9
99.92.5
101.098.6
Auto27.8
Teleop61.9
End10.2
Second
1671
#19
53.02.7
55.753.0
Auto14.4
Teleop34.6
End4.0
blue by 33.8
86.82.5
89.787.2
Auto24.2
Teleop54.1
End8.5
Third
972
#35
50.72.7
51.748.9
Auto11.1
Teleop31.5
End8.1
blue by 29.9
80.62.5
82.379.8
Auto15.3
Teleop53.7
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsMissed99%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed100%Barge oddsEarned