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Red269
25493.8
291099.9
97250.7
Blue271
940871.8
60488.8
58187.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258252150200300350269271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +23
6Leave3
14Coral scored#10
69Coral points49
75Total auto52
TeleoperatedBlue +25
29Coral scored#33
104Coral points119
5Processor algae#6
6Net algae#7
30Processor points36
24Net points28
54Algae points64
158Total teleop183
Reef
15L4#13
16L3#17
6L2#9
6L1 · trough#4
54Game pieces#56
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
269Total score271

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.90.6
98.899.4
Auto27.8
Teleop61.9
End10.2
red by 11.1
604
#7
88.80.6
87.187.7
Auto23.4
Teleop55.6
End9.8
Second
254
#1
93.80.6
92.793.3
Auto22.9
Teleop61.9
End9.0
red by 6.8
581
#14
87.00.6
85.385.9
Auto20.4
Teleop56.8
End9.8
Third
972
#35
50.70.6
49.650.2
Auto11.1
Teleop31.5
End8.1
blue by 21.1
9408
#17
71.80.6
70.170.7
Auto10.1
Teleop53.7
End8.0