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Qual 102025 FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by Qualcomm
Red122
61438.0
907256.9
68643.1
Blue82
111127.2
680243.1
189537.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124985015020012282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+40Teleop
+34Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
22Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
16Coral scored#10
56Coral points37
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
84Total teleop57
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +6
4Cage & park10
4Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
12Foul points6
122Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9072
#7
56.90.0
45.8→45.8
Auto11.4
Teleop45.6
End-0.1
red by 13.8
6802
#45
43.11.0
37.3→36.3
Auto10.6
Teleop26.2
End6.4
Second
686
#11
43.10.0
38.3→38.3
Auto10.3
Teleop27.1
End5.7
red by 5.5
1895
#34
37.51.0
32.6→31.6
Auto7.0
Teleop26.4
End4.2
Third
614
#31
38.00.0
26.5→26.4
Auto7.5
Teleop27.8
End2.7
red by 10.7
1111
#36
27.21.0
21.1→20.1
Auto6.2
Teleop18.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsMissed