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Red135
12246.6
83659.1
108631.6
Blue115
162963.1
88860.6
253436.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12215350100200135115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
0Teleop0
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +25
9Leave0
1Coral scored#8
7Coral points41
16Total auto41
TeleoperatedRed +25
16Coral scored#13
57Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
8Net algae#3
6Processor points12
32Net points12
38Algae points24
95Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#9
7L3#7
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#26
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
135Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#14
59.10.4
48.649.0
Auto13.6
Teleop39.3
End6.2
blue by 4.0
1629
#13
63.12.9
57.154.2
Auto20.0
Teleop40.6
End2.5
Second
122
#8
46.60.4
35.636.0
Auto9.9
Teleop27.7
End9.0
blue by 13.9
888
#15
60.62.9
46.743.8
Auto17.5
Teleop40.5
End2.6
Third
1086
#38
31.60.4
33.333.7
Auto9.9
Teleop19.1
End2.6
blue by 5.3
2534
#39
36.92.9
43.540.6
Auto10.9
Teleop23.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed